|Election under a Caretaker Government
An Empirical Analysis of the October 2001 Parliamentary Election in Bangladesh
ISBN 984 05 1691 4 2004 506pp 215x136mm HB Tk.585.00 US$30.00
This book is the result of an empirical study aimed at analysing the results of the three parliamentary elections hold in Bangladesh under caretaker administrations since 1991, with special emphasis on the October 2001 election. It carries out an objective analysis of various aspects of the election including possible determinants of party performance and voter turnout and the impact of rebel candidates and other contextual variables on the outcome of the election.
To-date, no study has been undertaken to offer an objective analysis of the election results. The study is the first of its kind to attempt such an analysis, identifying potential factors that could explain the observed results.
Starting with simple comparative analysis of votes received and seats won by the major political parties, the study gradually advances to more sophisticated statistical univariate and multivariate analysis and endeavours to record what exactly happened on the 1st October of 2001. The analysis also indicates what signals the results provide, and what lessons are learnt from these results. In addition to carrying out conventional election analysis of margins, vote shares, seat-to-vote ratios, swings, hold-gain-loss etc., the book applies a number of unique techniques including scenario analysis, rebel factor analysis, analysis of unusual movements of votes, and multivariate analysis of party performance. 7"he book, divided in thirteen chapters, is a comprehensive indepth analysis of all significant dimensions the October 2001 election results could present.
Waresul Karim completed his B.Com (Hons.) in 1986 and M.Com degree in 1988 from Dhaka University. He joined the Faculty at the Department of Finance and Banking at the same university in 1991 and later he proceeded to the University of Leeds in the UK and was awarded Ph.D in 1995 under a Commonwealth Scholarship.
Dr. Karim rejoined Dhaka University in 1995 where he continued working until 1997 when he was offered a teaching position at Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand. Dr. Karim has now returned to the Department of Finance and Banking at the University of Dhaka. He has published extensively in academic and professional journals at home and abroad.